World War III

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/israel/2182070/Israel-%27will-attack-Iran%27-before-new-US-president-sworn-in%2C-John-Bolton-predicts.html

If you don’t want to read the whole article, it’s conservative wacko predicting that Israel will attack Iran between our autumn elections and the inauguration. This is all based on recent developments that indeed do seem to suggest something might go down soon (Israeli long-range test runs and recent comments by leaders). I have to admit, there is a strange part of me that is separated from it all that finds the whole thing exciting. A real, goshdarned war between 2 modern militaries! This sort of thing is very rare post-World War II. Most wars of the last 50 years have been waged by a modern military on one side and a very clever, determined but but less powerful (on paper) enemy on the other side. Examples are the current Iraq war, Vietnam War, Soviet/Afghani war.

Anyway, back when the 9/11 attacks occurred I wrote in a journal or something about how it could turn into World War III. Not that it will but just how it could happen. Well, I think it could possibly happen if Israel attacks Iran. It could EASILY happen if Iran were to attack Israel. Anyway, here’s a potential scenario.

Israel attacks Iran in a preemptively defensive act of aggression. Iran would definitely not stand for it and a war would commence. We would certainly enter to defend Israel and Britain would likely do so as well. It could stop there (and perhaps probably would). Contrary to public opinion, Iran is NOT an Arab nation (it’s Persian). It has a majority Shiite population and it’s decisions are unpopular. As a result, the Arab nations wouldn’t go nuts to help out but Syria probably would. So it’s Israel, US, UK vs Iran, Syria. If Iran could somehow turn the whole thing into a Muslim rallying point all hell could break loose. Even if the other Muslim nations don’t join in, rioting and civil strife could easily be instigated in most of these countries.

Basically, all that’s required is for Pakistan to get involved. If they could somehow be persuaded to act or join Iran, in spite of the fact that Pakistan is now our “friend”, a real can of worms is opened. Pakistan’s mortal enemy, India, would likely join on our side. Now neighboring Muslim countries like Bangladesh and Indonesia could answer the cry. Is Australia, part-time enemies of Indonesia, then induced to join our side?

China has been a long-time enemy of India’s engaging them in several border battles. Naturally, the Chinese also hate us. Do they sieze the opportunity to take the land that they believe is theirs? Are we then compelled to aid India? And does China take advantage of the chaos to invade Taiwan? Or finally pay back Japan for WWII?

And what does Russia do?! They act like they’re pals with China now but they’re traditionally enemies (even in the communist days). But they hate us much more.

Probably won’t happen.

kicknz

One response to “World War III

  1. Israel’s bombing of the nuclear facilities in Iran is probably right around the corner, not only with the recent war games involving over 100 F-15’s and F-16’s, but mainly because Israel said so. They’ve got to pull it off first though. Israel has a few more barriers than it did back during the Iraq attack, such as Iran’s advanced AA systems (which are to be delivered this fall by our good friends over in Russia…thanks guys!), and the fact that Iran’s nuclear facilities were buried underground. Too bad the Massive Ordnance Penetrator is still in the testing phase…nothing a 30,000 lb bomb can’t handle.

    Iran can ill afford a war with Israel, which means war with us, Great Briton, France, and Australia among others in one form or another. From what I’ve read about the possible aftermath, there will be a lot of comdemning from other countries but a big sigh of relief in private, especially from Turkey and other semi-pro-U.S. countries in the region that allow us to use their goat paths. A nuclear Iran is big trouble, the retaliation will most likely come from surrogate groups. But that A’jad is a crazy bastard.

    WWIII? Possible, but not probable. Iran faces utter obliteration if confronted by Israel and the U.S. I heard a U.S. admiral give an estimate on how long it would take to eliminate the Iranian navy….6 seconds (no joke), air superiority over the entire country within 24 hours. But I’d rather not, we’ve got a couple other countries to worry about first.

    Bored at work…

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